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"Gallup" with the first forecast for the elections: GERB increases the gap

Of all voters, 3.5% say they will vote with "I do not support anyone"

Илюстративна снимка, БГНЕС

If the National Assembly elections were at the beginning on April, the declarative voting certainty was 37.4%. This is according to a survey by "Gallup International" conducted for BNT.

Of all voters, 3.5% say they will vote with "I support no one".

In the votes cast for parties, coalitions and candidates, the results would be as follows: GERB-SDS would take 27.4% of votes, PP-DB – 17.9%, DPS – 15.2%, "Revival" – 14.9%, BSP – 10.5%, VAT – 5.2%. The remaining votes remain for various other smaller formations.

Regarding the European Parliament elections, 34.2% is the declared certainty of voting. 3.1% declare a vote with “I do not support anyone”. The probable shares of the votes cast for parties, coalitions and candidates, naturally for such a situation, look similar to those for the National Assembly: GERB-SDS would take 27.9% of the votes, PP-DB – 17.7%, DPS – 14.8%, “Revival“ – 14.6%, BSP – 9.8%, ITN – 5.4%. The remaining votes remain for various other smaller formations.

The degree of uncertainty is high, as registration is still to come, so the data cannot be read as a prediction of the election result.

The data is from a study by “Gallup International Balkan“ for the Bulgarian National Television. The research covers 805 adult Bulgarians in a representative sample and was conducted through a face-to-face interview. with tablets between March 28 and April 5. It cannot reflect recent developments and represents a snapshot towards the end of the previous government's term.

The research was conducted for BNT between March 28 and April 5, 2024 among 805 people using the face-to-face method. with tablets. The sample is representative of the adult population of the country. The maximum standard deviation is +3.5% at 50 percent shares. 1% of the entire sample is equal to about 54 thousand people.