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Mathematician predicts: 71 seats for GERB-SDS, "Vazrazhdane" - 45, PP-DB - 43, Dogan - 24, BSP-20, ITN-20 and 17 for Peevski

In a 7-party parliament: What is the probability distribution of mandates

Sep 30, 2024 10:31 37

Mathematician predicts: 71 seats for GERB-SDS, "Vazrazhdane" - 45, PP-DB - 43, Dogan - 24, BSP-20, ITN-20 and 17 for Peevski  - 1

Mathematician Prof. Ognyan Kunchev commented on the air of “Your Day” on NOVA NEWS the possible coalitions in a 7-party parliament. In mandates, these percentages mean 71 seats for GERB-SDS, “Revival” – 45, PP-DB – 43, APS – 24, BSP-20, ITN-20, “Movement for rights and freedoms – A New Beginning“– 17.

For this purpose, he used the data from a survey by the sociological agency "Trend", commissioned by "24 Hours". It is dedicated to the attitudes of Bulgarians at the start of the election campaign and was realized in the period September 17-24 through a direct “face-to-face” among 1003 people.

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A table prepared by Prof. Kunchev shows that the chance of GERB-SDS is to receive 24.8% of the trust of all voters. After them are: “Revival” - 15.6%, PP-DB – 15.1%, APS - 8%, BSP-United Left – 6.9%, ITN – 6.9%, “Movement for Rights and Freedoms – A New Beginning“– 5.8%, SWORD – 3.5%, “Greatness” – 3.44% and “I do not support anyone” – 3.9%.

The survey of sociological agency "Trend" was made by order of the “24 hours”. It is dedicated to the attitudes of the Bulgarians at the start of the election campaign and was realized in the period September 17-24 through a direct “face-to-face” among 1003 people.