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Genoveva Petrova: The main core of DPS supporters remain to a large extent in support of the faction around Dogan

According to the sociologist from Alfa Research, the faction around Delyan Peevski does not have such strong authorities behind which the voters can stand, if they have to make their own election spontaneously 

Sep 17, 2024 10:36 100

Genoveva Petrova: The main core of DPS supporters remain to a large extent in support of the faction around Dogan  - 1

"The political crisis, after all the more or less exotic solutions by which we have tried to get out of it, can find its solution if before the elections the political forces honestly and honorably declare in front of their voters, with whom they would enter into government. But not these veiled formulas like - let's find an equidistant and independent prime minister".

This opinion was expressed to the BNR by Genoveva Petrova from "Alfa Research".

"In the behavior of both GERB and PP-DB in recent days - although they are timidly reaching out to seek interaction with each other, I see no difference from their previous behavior. They simply dress up their previous behavior with such messages, precisely because they realize that the public expects to hear what they will do after the elections. We have no reason to believe that after this vote, the crisis will find its solution, and respectively, this would be the last election for a relatively long period.
According to her, this campaign will be more special for everyone because of the sharp confrontations and to the extent of "bloody wars" within some formations. Moreover, with each subsequent election, people's interest decreases, she added. According to her, predicting the election results is becoming more and more difficult:

"The basic attitude is the so-called free vote, the people who independently, authentically decide who to support, participate less and less in the elections and are interested in them. And more and more, the results of the elections are the result of some form of non-free vote".

DPS sympathizers - those who have been supporting it for decades are a closed community and rarely share publicly what they experience and how they feel, the sociologist noted in the program "Before everyone".

In her words, the main core of longtime supporters of the Movement remain largely in support of the faction around Ahmed Dogan because of the authority he has built up over the years.

"Regardless of how the individual factions that claim to represent this group of voters appear, they rely very heavily on their own internal authorities.

According to her, in the faction around Delyan Peevski, there are no such strong authorities behind which these voters can stand, if they have to make their choice spontaneously.

"The wing around Peevski manages to demonstrate strong positions among the DPS apparatus, among some of the structures and among the institutions that have the position to make decisions regarding who will wear the "DPS" in this election".

At the moment, if we can expect a way in which it will affect the DPS voters, it is a large part of them, as far as they are able to decide for themselves, not to go to vote and not support any of the factions that claim their votes, commented Genoveva Petrova.

According to her, the shaking of the DPS positions in some areas opens an opportunity for the representatives of other parties to improve their positions. DPS voters will not change their support, but some of them will not go to vote, she explained.

"It is very important to follow how the attitudes of the people in these parts of the country develop, because from there for years the representation in the National Assembly was only in the direction of the DPS. As for alternative movements of the DPS built around former figures of theirs - we have already seen elections where they have tried to participate and break the positions of the DPS in these seats - we see that in a national vote so far this has turned out failed due to the strong influence of DPS authorities among them. We have not observed an explosion in the Movement itself, it has managed to maintain its dominant position among these sympathizers. Now, for the first time, we will witness a situation in which the DPS does not remain monolithic, and from now on I assume that this will in any case negatively affect the results they register in these areas.

The sociologist predicts that the result will not be so smoothly won. It allows for the possible withdrawal of sympathizers from either faction.