The European Union is developing a plan that could secure Ukraine partial membership as early as next year. The goal is to strengthen the country's position in Europe and distance itself from Moscow, according to ten officials and diplomats quoted by “Politico“, reports News.bg.
Four years after the Russian invasion and with a goal of joining by 2027, the idea would allow Ukraine to have a voice in the EU before it meets all the criteria for full membership. European and Ukrainian officials have stressed the urgency of the bid, with President Volodymyr Zelensky saying setting a date was important and would be signed by the US and Russia.
The plan resembles Emmanuel Macron's concept of a multi-speed union, informally called "reverse enlargement". It gives Ukraine time to complete its reforms, reducing the risk of the country becoming desperate and turning away from the West. But there are obstacles, including opposition from Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban.
The process is outlined in five steps:
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Preparing Ukraine - The EU is providing guidance and information on negotiating "clusters" to help with reforms. Kiev assures that it will complete the necessary work by 2027.
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Creating a light membership - The idea of \u200b\u200b“reverse enlargement“ allows Ukraine to start with partial rights and obligations before becoming a full member. This is a political message to Ukraine, Moldova and Albania for support in times of war.
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Waiting for change in Hungary - In order for membership to take place, unanimous support of 27 countries is needed. Orban remains firmly opposed, but the April elections could change the situation.
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US involvement - Donald Trump could put pressure on Orban and help conclude a peace agreement and Ukraine's accession.
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Using Article 7 - If all else fails, the EU could activate Article 7 against Hungary, temporarily removing rights, including the right to veto new members.
The idea is supported by France, Italy and Poland, but Germany is cautious, fearing promises that Brussels may not keep. However, the EU is considering these measures as a way to ensure political and psychological support for Ukraine.