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Ukraine is thinking about presidential elections soon - what are the challenges?

Analysts consider Zelensky a credible candidate for a second term, although last year he expressed readiness to step down after a peace agreement

Снимка: БГНЕС/ЕРА
ФАКТИ публикува мнения с широк спектър от гледни точки, за да насърчава конструктивни дебати.

Citing anonymous sources, "Financial Times" reported that Kiev is considering the possibility of holding presidential elections within the next three months, writes "Agence France-Presse".

Here are the obstacles that would have to be overcome for Ukraine to hold a vote during the war:

Martial law

Ukraine imposed martial law when Russian forces crossed the border in February 2022, and the military government forbade holding elections.

President Volodymyr Zelensky has repeatedly said that Ukraine could hold elections after signing a peace agreement with Russia and recently signaled readiness for a quick vote as part of a US plan to end the war.

Last year, Kiev created a working group of politicians and military personnel to study how elections could be held after martial law is lifted.

"I don't want Ukraine to be in any is a weak position - no one can use the lack of elections as an argument against Ukraine," Zelensky said in December.

"And that is why I am definitely in favor of holding elections," he added.

He also said that any agreement that involves the cession of territory to Moscow must be subject to a referendum.

A senior lawmaker from Zelensky's party noted today that despite these moves, the political consensus in Ukraine is that "neither a referendum nor elections can be held under martial law.".

Voting under attack

Ukrainian authorities routinely point to the ongoing fighting as a major obstacle to holding any vote.

Cities near the extensive front line are being bombed daily by Russian forces, and civilians are dying.

Millions of Ukrainians have fled to abroad since Russian forces invaded, and millions more live under Russian occupation.

It is also unclear how hundreds of thousands of soldiers could vote from the front.

"Elections in the occupied territories are completely impossible", said political analyst Volodymyr Fesenko.

"Even after the end of the war, they are impossible", he added, noting that holding a vote in Moscow-controlled areas would be contrary to Ukrainian law.

Only 10% of Ukrainians support holding elections before a ceasefire, a survey by the Kiev International Institute of Sociology found late last year.

What do the US and Russia say?

The Kremlin, which set out to oust Zelensky and his government in early 2022, claims that The 48-year-old Ukrainian leader is illegitimate because his five-year term expires in 2024.

Moscow has said it can call a ceasefire during elections in Ukraine, but only if Ukrainians living in Russia and Russian-controlled areas are allowed to vote.

US President Donald Trump has ordered elections in Ukraine as part of a deal he is trying to broker.

In December, Trump - Ukraine's most important but unpredictable ally - accused Kiev of taking advantage of the ongoing fighting to avoid holding a vote.

Candidates

Analysts see Zelensky as a credible candidate for a second term, although last year he expressed his willingness to step down after a peace deal.

"If we end the war with the Russians, yes, I'm ready I am" not to run in the next election, he stressed, adding: "Elections are not my goal".

The Ukrainian leader's approval rating has been steadily declining since its unprecedented levels at the start of the invasion nearly four years ago.

Around 59% of Ukrainians say they trust the 48-year-old former comedian, a survey by the Kiev International Institute of Sociology found in late 2025.

However, another survey of voting intentions found that Zelensky is neck and neck with the popular former army chief Valery Zaluzhny, whom he fired in 2024, and could lose to him in the second round.

Zelensky also faces accusations that he and his fired top aide Andriy Yermak centralized too much power during the war and removed opponents, such as Zaluzhny, who is now ambassador to Ukraine. of Ukraine in Britain.

Fesenko said several others could run, including former President Petro Poroshenko and former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko - although their chances appear slim - as well as popular military officials.