When the Ukrainian army invaded Kursk Oblast, he hoped that Russia will withdraw its troops from Donbass and transfer them to Kursk. However, this did not happen and everyone is asking why.
According to the analysis of agency UNIAN Russian President Vladimir Putin is in no hurry to get back Kursk Oblast, especially at the expense of Donbas, because he believes that Donald Trump (if he wins the presidential election in the US), will cause Ukrainians to leave the official borders of the federation.
Putin also believes that Trump will give the Russian occupiers everything they want in eastern Ukraine, ie. the occupied lands. Another question is why Putin believes in this, given that Trump and his team have never made such a promise, the agency commented.
According to her, Russia is spending its military resources so that they reach the winter, hoping for a Trump victory in the US. But such blind faith makes Russia predictable. And therefore vulnerable. The Kursk offensive and other actions show that the Ukrainians saw through all these plans. And they created their own course of war.
Putin believes that Western countries will abandon Kiev at some point and stop their military support. However, this does not happen. And although Ukraine is not getting all the weapons it wants and the ability to use them to strike deep into Russian territory, the West continues to support it.
On the front, things are not going Putin's way, and the initiative appears to be swinging in Ukraine's favor after months in the hands of the Russian military due to delayed aid from the US Congress. Everywhere, with the exception of Pokrovsk, the Russian Federation is losing initiative and exhausting its resources.
Logistics is the weak point of the Russian army. Because the Russians are betting not on quality, but on quantity. And the more troops, the harder it is to transport them. And all of this comes amid seemingly contradictory statements from the Kremlin about what the end of the war should look like.
On the one hand, Moscow states that it will not negotiate with Ukraine. Among other things, Lukashenko appears in front of the media and asks Kiev and Putin to sit down at the negotiating table. The Belarusian dictator, directly subordinate to Putin, until yesterday threatened with nuclear weapons, and today congratulates Ukraine on its independence.
The Kursk operation has cast doubt among China and other proxies on Putin's claims that Ukraine cannot win this war. It turned out, in fact, that there is a way. And just as Medvedev claimed that a nuclear power cannot lose a war, so the Ukrainian army carried out the first invasion of Russia since World War II.
Putin is in a “creative crisis” because he is sticking to only one plan, which is no longer relevant. Missile attacks, nuclear threats and the movement of Belarusian troops back and forth along the border are a manifestation of the weakness of the Kremlin, which cannot understand that attempts at intimidation are no longer effective.