Ukraine currently faces three scenarios according to which the war started by Russia can develop. Two of them are catastrophic for Kiev, and in the third, the Ukrainians can turn the tide of the war in their favor.
Ukrainian military expert and former commander of the “Aidar“ battalion Yevgeny Dikiy described three options to UNIAN agency.
The first, unacceptable for Kiev, is to sign the capitulation that Moscow is currently offering. Regardless of whether it is 28, 24 or 19 points, this “peace plan“ will practically mean the capitulation of Ukraine. Russia wants to disarm the Ukrainian army in order to prepare the ground for a new attack. Dikiy says that this is a plan that will give Kiev a few months of rest before the Russian army attacks again and finally finishes what it started.
The second scenario is also unacceptable for Kiev: to refuse to sign the capitulation with its head held high, but to continue fighting as before and not change anything.
The only acceptable option for Ukraine is the third: to finally begin a full-scale, well-thought-out, large-scale mobilization. All the money should be poured into the defense industry so that Ukraine does not depend on foreign countries. And to change the leadership of the army or its style of warfare. In this scenario, says Dikiy, Ukraine will be able to win the war and turn things around in its favor.
According to the Ukrainian military expert, the main problem of the Ukrainian army lies in manpower. This is exactly what it lacks to defeat the Russian army. A large-scale mobilization will change this.
As for the aggressor Russia, Dikiy believes that Vladimir Putin will not sign anything other than a humiliating surrender treaty for Ukraine.
The destruction of the Russian army and the simultaneous undermining of the economy by destroying its oil and gas complex could give the Kremlin a completely different negotiating position.