The probability of forming a government is greater. Boryana Dimitrova, "Alpha Research", made such a prediction before the BNR.
"I think there will be a government, but I don't foresee it having such a long life. However, there is about a 40% chance of early elections. The resources and the greatest opportunities are in the hands of one party, while those with a lesser degree of legitimacy and opportunities show the greatest enthusiasm. They give a request that they are ready to take on the burden of power. This is a paradoxical situation that largely reflects the great difficulty of combining political, parliamentary, possibly economic and geopolitical interests.
Dimitrova nevertheless expects the combination of the legitimate civil interest, which is Bulgaria to have a regular government, with a hidden one - of economic circles, to lead to a regular government.
The only possibility, if there is a government, is to do so with the first mandate, she believes.
"If a government is not formed, a third mandate will necessarily be reached by procedure, but not by content. It's never just about a mathematical majority, it's about matching policies.
"Different governance formulas can be found, but no one will want to call it a "coalition", Dimitrova said in the program "Something more".
Individual votes in support of such a government, apart from GERB and DPS, could come from different parties, Boryana Dimitrova pointed out.
"Majesty", BSP, ETC. I wouldn't rule out the possibility that each of the other groups would have one or two voices to claim support. This would lead to the possibility of saying that she is from a wider palette of parties.
A minority government is always risky, she added.
Dimitrova also focused on the growing apathy of Bulgarians towards political life. He defined the increase in the share of small radical groups as an alarming trend.
"Suddenly, we may find ourselves in a parliament with many of them, which would sharply reduce the influence of the so-called "system parties".
The political situation in each subsequent parliament seems more complicated than in the previous one, noted Dimitrova and warned:
"The more we move towards a shortened election cycle, the greater the risk to parliamentary democracy.