Boyko Borisov, the leader of the GERB party that won the next election, has two options, and Borisov is faced with a choice - to ally with "We continue the Change - Democratic Bulgaria" (PP-DB) and with "There is such a people" (TIN) or not.
If Borisov decides to conclude a coalition agreement with the PP-DB, this would mean a conflict with the influential politician Delyan Peevski, which could lead to serious internal disagreements in GERB and even to the risk of a split.
According to Raichev, such a decision would be a "one-off" and after him Borisov should consider retiring from the political scene.
Raichev notes that PP-DB are divided and losing political direction since the leader Hristo Ivanov is not directly involved in politics. According to him, instead of following a clear goal, PP-DB leaders mostly react to the actions of other politicians, including Peevski, instead of developing their own strategy.
According to Raichev, President Rumen Radev has the potential to create a new political structure that will stabilize the country through a three-member coalition, in which a new left wing will also participate. Such a project could create the necessary basis for longer-lasting stability of the country, the sociologist believes.
Otherwise, Bulgaria currently looks like a "two-legged stool" and cannot be stable without a sustained leftist presence. Raichev, however, emphasized that the new left must differ from the former communist ideals and offer modern solutions that meet the current needs of society, as well as offer stabilization with a balanced and sustainable political structure. Until such a modern left wing takes shape, the country will continue to be politically unstable, and the issue of governance will remain a matter of uncertain coalitions and compromises.
Regarding the delegitimization of the electoral process with the latest published data and the calls for vote counting, Andrey Raichev pointed out that machine voting is the maximum that Bulgaria can achieve technologically in terms of the honesty of the vote. According to him, the decision of the "paper coalition" to return to paper ballots was a compromise in which GERB and DPS teamed up with BSP led by Kornelia Ninova to justify their low results by blaming the machines.
He emphasized that the return of machine voting will contribute to greater stability of the electoral process, although control over it remains necessary.