There is currently an extremely high conflict dynamics in the political space around the DPS parties and BSP. The culmination of this conflict will manifest itself in the heated phase of the campaign.
This is what he told "Focus" the political scientist Teodor Slavev.
"These scandals could increase interest, consolidate some cores, create a higher dynamic in the campaign, a more conflicted speech. But I don't think it will have the effect of getting more people to go to the polls. On the contrary, it will disappoint and alienate voters, even from hard cores,”, he said.
The battle for the registration of the two wings of the DPS party in the CEC is no longer symbolic, but legal, and the reasons for these intra-party conflicts are primarily political, he believes.
"And behind the political are economic, oligarchic ones, as they actually are in DPS, because in practice there it is only a matter of struggle for supremacy, absorption of capital, channels, draining, control of state resources”.
In his words, the situation in the DPS will lead to the creation of practically two parties – one of Peevski and the group around him, and the other – of Dogan and the people who support him, as this, according to the political scientist, will lead to a weakening of electoral support.
"A part of the ethnic Turks in Bulgaria will not go out to vote, worried about what is happening and there will be extreme pressure, because these people live in settlements where the local authority from the municipality is the biggest employer.
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The exclusion of Cornelia Ninova from the party, according to Teodor Slavev, is legitimate.
"The Socialist Party treats Ninova with its own medicine. Because the years in which she chaired the BSP, this type of removal, ostracism, whether through some forms of punishment or direct exclusion from the party, were her specialties and those around her. So there may be some historical irony in this, he said.
The problem in the BSP, according to him, is not only leadership, i.e. about the choice of the person who will represent the BSP in the elections as a campaign and messages, and what is happening with the left in Bulgaria in general. The proposal for a large left front is still unclear and it is not known exactly who these 20 formations will be that will enter it.
The key to the return of the left is to center the policies, but by 2024, since there is nothing qualitatively new in their platform at the moment, he also believes. And the second, according to him, is renewal of persons. "But there has to be a balance here too, because you can't throw in some unprepared people who don't have any recognition of their own, simply because they're unpopular and that's an advantage. On the contrary, one should look for authorities who are proud of the left, of left understandings and ideology,” explained the political scientist.
Problems in the registrations of both the DPS and the BSP will rest on two key institutions: the CEC and the Bulgarian court. "And here we have to say again how important it is that we really have independent institutions that cannot be influenced, because they will to some extent predetermine the way the political field will be structured during the election campaign”, Teodor Slavev is categorical.