Five formations will definitely enter the next National Assembly, and two remain with a real chance of representation. This is shown by a study by "Trend", commissioned by "24 hours", dedicated to electoral attitudes towards the upcoming early parliamentary elections. The study was conducted between February 12 and 18, 2026 through a direct semi-standardized "face-to-face" interview with a tablet among 1,002 people aged 18+. , quoted by news.bg
The voter turnout in the upcoming early parliamentary elections is expected to be higher than in the last few votes. 59% of all adult Bulgarians living in the country declare that they will exercise their right to vote on April 19.
"Trend" specifies that 1% of the sample is equal to 52,500 people, which means that about 3.1 million voters can go to the polls.
Five formations will certainly have representation in the next National Assembly, and two parties remain close to the 4 percent barrier for entering parliament.
The leader in the ranking is Rumen Radev's new formation, which garners the support of 32.7% of voters. GERB-SDF remains second with 20.4%.
There is uncertainty about the third place, which will be contested by PP-DB (10.9%) and MRF-New Beginning (10.5%).
"Vazrazhdane" is in fifth position with 7.8% support among voters.
BSP (3.8%), as well as MECH (3.6%) remain close to the barrier.
"Ime sakto razno" can count on 2.5%, the Alliance for Rights and Freedoms has 1.7%, and "Velicie" has the support of 1.6% among voters.
The data has been recalculated without the percentage of those who indicated that they would vote with "I do not support anyone", which this month is 1.9%.