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Voice of the people! US vote swings increasingly in favor of Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in at least 11 polls

Sep 6, 2024 11:53 206

Voice of the people! US vote swings increasingly in favor of Kamala Harris  - 1

US Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump in at least 11 polls , taken after the Democratic National Convention, thus extending her winning streak and her lead over Trump since July — though the size of her lead remains unchanged from before the convention, Forbes said.

Harris had a two-point lead -- 47 percent to 49 percent -- in the Emerson College poll conducted Sept. 3-4 of likely voters, down slightly from her four-point lead in the Emerson poll. in August.

Harris leads Trump by two points in the Sept. 1-3 Economist/YouGov poll, which matches the group's Aug. 25-27 poll (she led Trump by three points in the Aug. 17-20 poll and by two points in the survey from August 11 to 13).

Harris leads 50%-46% among all registered voters and 52%-46% among likely voters, according to an Aug. 23-27 Ipsos/ABC News poll, essentially unchanged from Harris' four-point lead points among registered voters and five points among likely voters two weeks earlier (margin of error 2 points).

According to an Outward Intelligence poll of 2,191 likely voters conducted Aug. 25-29, the vice president has a more than five-point lead in both two-way (52.6% to 47.4%) and five-way (49.5% against 44 %) bouts with candidates from a third party in the runoff.

Harris leads Trump 47%-45% if third-party candidates are included, or 48%-47% in a direct Wall Street Journal poll released Aug. 29, marking the first time in more than a year Trump has trailed in Journal poll - a reversal from Trump's 49%-47% direct-vote lead a month ago (survey of registered voters Aug. 24-28, margin of error 2.5 points).

Harris had a 49%-47% lead in the first Quinnipiac survey of likely voters, within a margin of error of 2.4 points, with Trump and Harris splitting independent voters 45%-45% (the survey, conducted 23-27 August, allowed respondents to choose third-party candidates, and in a straight race, Harris' lead narrowed to 49%-48%).

The vice president leads Trump by five points -- 48%-43% -- among likely voters in the Suffolk/USA Today poll conducted Aug. 25-28, a huge turnaround from Trump's lead over President Joe Biden of 41%- 38% shortly after Biden's lackluster performance in the June debates (the latest poll's margin of error is 3.1 points).

Harris leads 45%-41% in an Ipsos/Reuters poll of registered voters released Aug. 29, exceeding the poll's margin of error of 2 points and extending Harris' 1-point lead in late July (another Ipsos poll, which does not include Reuters, registered a 5-point lead over Harris in early August).

Several other polls show that Harris' lead has barely changed since the Democratic National Convention: She leads Trump by just one point in a Yahoo News/YouGov poll (compared to a tie shortly after the Republican National Convention, when Biden stayed in the race).

Harris leads Trump by a larger margin -- 48 percent to 44 percent -- in the Morning Consult survey of registered voters from Aug. 23-25, which mirrored the group's Aug. 16-18 survey conducted before the Democratic National Convention , which ended last week in Chicago.

Polls have generally shown a shift in favor of Democrats since Harris entered the race in July: On the eve of the convention, Harris had a 51%-48% lead among likely voters, according to CBS and YouGov.

Just one major poll in recent weeks, conducted by Fox News and released on August 15, showed Trump leading 50% to 49% among registered voters.