The common denominator with Simeon Saxe-Coburg-Gotha, Borisov, ITN, and “We Continue the Change“ is that they managed to mobilize electoral support based on speaking out against the status quo. The same is now with Rumen Radev's formation. Right now, we are waiting for the mobilization of the so-called punitive vote against the status quo of the last few years. And to a large extent, Rumen Radev's formation will be the one that will win this protest vote. This was stated on the air of NovaNews by the political analyst from the “Trend“ agency. Dimitar Ganev, quoted by novini.bg.
Referring to sociological surveys, Ganev expects over 3.1 million voters to go to the polls on April 19, of which about 1/3, according to him, will cast their vote for the former president, or about 1 million voters.
“According to our exit poll surveys, nearly 1/5 of Bulgarians choose who to vote for literally in the last days of the campaign“, pointed out the political scientist from “Trend“.
According to him, the election campaign will not be as intense as expected because, he explained, Borisov and Peevski are already sufficiently experienced political players and will not allow themselves to attack Radev, because it would only add fuel to his fire.
After the resignation of the cabinet “Zhelyazkov“ Peevski, if you notice, is quite reserved in his statements – he does not have a single critical remark against Rumen Radev. The same applies to Borisov, who not only does not criticize him, but even said that he knows some of the people on Radev's lists and hopes to work with them again, commented Dimitar Ganev.
At the same time, he expects Radev's campaign to be more passive than the other candidates, because this has been his style since the first month since he announced that he would run as a participant in the parliamentary elections.
"In the last 25 years – after the breakdown of the bipolar model in our country in 2001 – generally speaking, voting in Bulgaria is for a specific figure. We simply have such a specific political culture – to think about politics through individual personalities,“ explained the political scientist.
In conclusion, Ganev predicted that the process of forming a regular cabinet would not be an easy task and categorically rejected the option of Rumen Radev's formation receiving a full majority of 121 deputies in parliament.