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Musk's genius move, or why the Moon became his most practical bet

Musk realized something very important: if SpaceX wants to improve space settlement technology, it needs to do it faster

Mar 1, 2026 10:00 62

Musk's genius move, or why the Moon became his most practical bet  - 1
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Just a few months ago, Elon Musk was completely obsessed with Mars. The billionaire and founder of SpaceX constantly repeated that the red planet is the future home of humanity and was very serious about it. He even called our Moon a "distraction", writes Wion.

However, something interesting happened recently. Out of the blue, Musk made a shocking announcement on his social network X that SpaceX is now prioritizing the settlement of the Moon before going to Mars. That's why this dramatic change is happening, in which, frankly, it makes a lot of sense.

The truth is, Musk never hated the Moon. The plan was always somewhere in the background. But what has changed is the timeline and the practical thinking. To put it simply, getting to Mars is like planning a wedding that takes 20 years to prepare. The problem is that Earth and Mars only align perfectly once every 26 months, and the trip itself takes six months. So the waiting period becomes extremely long. But the Moon? No, it's completely different. We can launch missions every ten days, and it only takes two days to get there. It's like the difference between a neighborhood store and a remote shopping mall.

The magic word here is "testing". Musk realized something very important: if SpaceX wants to perfect its space settlement technology, it needs to do it faster. With the Moon, they can launch missions repeatedly, make mistakes, learn from them, and improve everything in just months. With Mars, it can take decades to figure out what went wrong, because you have to wait for the next launch window. This is actually a very sensible way of thinking. It's like learning to drive by practicing on empty roads first, rather than jumping straight into highway traffic.

Now here's the interesting part about resources. The moon sits there with a huge treasure trove locked away in its depths. It's water ice frozen in deep craters, rare earth minerals, metals like iron and titanium, and something called helium-3, which is worth billions. A company recently agreed to buy helium-3 from the moon for about $300 million a year. This isn't some fantasy story - this is a real business that's happening right now. The moon has become a real economic opportunity, not just an adventure destination.

Let's talk about this electromagnetic tabletop engine that Musk talks about. Imagine a giant magnetic launch vehicle on the moon, like a space catapult that uses magnetic force instead of rocket fuel. Because the Moon has weak gravity and no dense atmosphere, you can launch heavy objects into space much more easily. The idea is to build factories on the Moon, use lunar materials to make satellites, and then launch them into deep space using this magnetic launch vehicle. That way, you don't have to spend money to ship everything from Earth. It's like opening a store in the middle of a market instead of shipping products from afar.

Here's something amazing that Musk mentioned. If this Moon-based manufacturing works perfectly, humanity could be sending 500 to 1,000 terawatts of AI-powered satellites into space every year. What does that mean? There's something called the Kardashev scale, which measures how advanced a civilization is based on how much energy it can control. Right now, humanity hasn't even reached level one on this scale. But with lunar manufacturing, we could be moving towards something that would really advance us as a civilization. We could start harnessing significant portions of the energy from the Sun itself. That's huge.

But there's another reason Musk is currently worried about Mars. He recently said something that shows real concern: What if there's a natural disaster or war that stops spacecraft from arriving from Earth? If a colony on Mars is completely dependent on Earth for supplies and they stop, everyone there dies. But a colony on the Moon could self-sustain and be independent much faster because we can send rescue missions or supplies every ten days if necessary. It's no longer just about ambition - it's about survival and making sure that humanity doesn't put all its eggs in one basket.

Musk hasn't given up on Mars. He says work on the Red Planet project will begin in 5 or 6 years, and even predicts a manned mission to Mars by 2031. But the Moon comes first. It is the springboard, the training ground, the economic foundation.

The truth is, this shift from Mars to the Moon is actually the most practical decision Musk has made in a long time. It's faster, safer, more affordable, and opens up real business opportunities. The Moon is no longer a distraction—it's the most sensible first step toward humanity truly embarking on space travel. And frankly, it's genius planning.