Ukraine has fallen into a strategic trap, writes Business Insider, commenting on the situation at the front in the country in the third year of the full-scale war that Russia started in February 2022
Ukraine is strong enough to prevent Russia from making much progress, but not strong enough to push Russian forces out of the territory it held before the invasion in 2022. The result is a war of attrition that Ukraine can't win. Military expert Michael Peck writes about this.
Ukrainian security expert Oleksandr Danilyuk points out that Kiev needs to develop a grand strategy that goes beyond simple survival, which characterized much of the war in 2024, when Russia took advantage of a long delay in US arms support.
The lack of a winning strategy will turn this war into a war of attrition for Ukraine, which fully coincides with Russian interests.
Ukraine is also no match for Russia's military capacity, such as tanks, artillery and troops. Trying to win a war with Russia only by symmetrically increasing the amount is a flawed strategy, given that Russia has a larger number of human reserves, significant stockpiles of weapons and military equipment.
First of all, the quality of the Ukrainian army should be improved. “Choosing a common strategy“ easy to say but hard to do. For example, the Ukrainian government promises to release all occupied territory, including the Crimean peninsula and eastern Ukraine, which Russia annexed. In particular, some critics say that this is unrealistic and Ukraine will have to accept the loss of territory, UNIAN agency quotes the article.
A few days ago, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that Russia will immediately end the war if Ukraine renounces the occupied territories, and also renounces future NATO membership. Kyiv rejected this ultimatum.