The government has been working for 35 minutes. The talks would continue in the coming days. Only GERB announced that they and ITN want a rotation of the speaker of parliament. But they have not reached an agreement.
According to sociologist Boryana Dimitrova and political scientist Hristo Panchugov – the ruling party is entering a stage of internal erosion and loss of trust.
„If the word of the week was transformation, now it is upgrading – but it is not clear what exactly is being upgraded“, Boryana Dimitrova commented to bTV.
In her words, after the “strong requests“ of GERB leader Boyko Borisov, none have been implemented so far.
“His public image is weakening, and behind the scenes we see a complex network of mutual dependencies and unexpected alliances“, she added.
According to Dimitrova, the situation in parliament is now “more unpredictable than ever“ – with vague promises, secret agreements and possible new centers of influence.
In recent weeks, the GERB leader has made several categorical public statements – about changing regional governors, reforms in the Ministry of Internal Affairs and allegations of “concession ministries“. However, none of them led to real changes, said Panchugov.
A classic example of Bulgarian work, poorly conceived and poorly thought out“, summarized political scientist Hristo Panchugov.
According to him, despite the apparent strength of GERB, Borisov is unable to impose control over either his partners or his own party.
Dimitrova and Panchugov united around the opinion that the current government is built on a fragile balance and “mutual traps“.
According to them, “There is such a people“ and the BSP are the most vulnerable partners – with crumbling support and fear of new elections.
„They should be easy-to-manage allies, but apparently the dependencies go through other channels“, commented Panchugov.
Political scientists see Delyan Peevski's key role as a factor that drives the processes without officially participating in power.
„Without his votes, this government would not exist - it is mathematically impossible. But the question is how can one seek responsibility from a person who does not hold an official position. This distorts the entire logic of the democratic process“, stressed Panchugov.
Sociologist Dimitrova believes that Borisov is still hesitating between the role of a shadow and a leader.
„He probably feels bad that decisions are made by others, and the glory goes to them. At the same time, he knows that his formal return as prime minister will open a new front of tension,“ she pointed out.
Both experts are categorical: early elections are inevitable.
"The question is not if, but when“, said Dimitrova. “It could be after the presidential elections, or it could be earlier – if the eruption within the coalition becomes uncontrollable.“