I expect that in 2026 there will be significant shifts in the electoral picture. This was commented on bTV by Genoveva Petrova from “Alpha Research“. She specified that there is an increased mobilization of active participants in the mass protests due to the early parliamentary elections in the spring.
“It is important for people not only to overthrow the government, but also what will be offered to them as a solution. That is why a significant portion of voters today say that they either prefer to vote for other parties or have not yet decided who to support,“ she said.
According to her, some of these people recognize President Rumen Radev as an alternative, but at this stage no research has been conducted on the quantitative support, because it is not clear whether he will participate in the vote.
According to her, if it comes to a political project around the president, the most significant support would come from voters who sympathize with parties positioned in the nationalist niche. This would make the competition in this segment significantly more contested.
The sociologist did not rule out the completely realistic scenario that some of the smaller formations in the current parliament would fail to pass the 4 percent barrier in the next elections. A possible participation of the president in the race would further make it difficult for these parties to retain their parliamentary representation.
On the topic of a possible unification against the model of government associated with Boyko Borisov and Delyan Peevski, Petrova pointed out that at the moment the requests of the political forces do not indicate such a scenario. At the same time, she recalled that political practice in our country has repeatedly shown how categorical pre-election refusals to cooperate have subsequently been overcome.