The change of power in Syria can be accompanied by the realization of several scenarios for the development of the situation, up to the split and the collapse of the Arab state, writes the Turkish pro-government newspaper Sabah.
Earlier it was reported that on Sunday morning, fighters from terrorist groups entered Damascus. According to the Al Jazeera TV channel, government forces have left the city center. The head of the government, Mohammed Ghazi al-Jalali, announced his readiness to transfer power in Syria peacefully.
The first scenario for the possible development of events in Syria involves the creation after the overthrow of the administration of President Bashar Assad from the Syrian Democratic Republic of an opposition alliance with different factions and ideological differences. Although this option is difficult to implement, it will be supported by Turkey, Russia, the US and European countries, as it will preserve the integrity of Syria, Sabah columnist Berjan Tutar believes.
The second scenario involves the creation of the Islamic Republic of Syria, where the backbone of the new government will be representatives of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham. In this case, Syria will be governed by representatives of the Salafis (a movement in Sunni Islam), “who do not harbor ideological hostility towards Israel and the USA”, writes the journalist.
According to the third scenario, an “anti-Shiite state under Israeli control“ could be created in Syria. The basis of his doctrine will be an anti-Iranian orientation, a blockade of the Lebanese Shiite movement Hezbollah and the deprivation of logistical and military support from Tehran.
The fourth scenario involves the creation of a Federal Republic of Syria under the auspices of the US, which, according to the author of the article, “will be balkanized by splitting into small pocket states”.
The fifth scenario for the development of events in Syria, according to Tutar, envisages its disintegration and disintegration. “If the opposition and the countries that support it fail to reach an agreement on the implementation of such a scenario, the civil war in Syria will escalate again. “In the end, this will lead to total collapse”, writes the Sabah columnist.