Goritsa Grancharova - Kozhareva should to be as independent and distant from the parties as possible, although this is doubtful, because we know that in institutions such as the Audit Chamber, random people are not appointed, regardless of whether to the presidency or the vice-presidentship. It should be clear where it is coming from and what impact it may have on it in the months leading up to the election.
This is what political scientist Georgi Kiryakov told "Focus“.
He expects that with the announcement of the composition of the cabinet, it will become clear what the balance of power is and what claims of the political parties have been satisfied. "This shouldn't happen, but it most likely will. This has happened with all caretaker governments. These will be the first indications of the direction it will go and what policy this caretaker government and this caretaker prime minister will follow. It is very likely that she is just the official figure behind which to hide all sorts of interests," Kiryakov said.
Processes of disintegration in political parties, according to the political scientist, will determine the composition of the 51st National Assembly. According to him, there are already indications of electoral changes. "They are related both to the possibility of increasing the number of non-voters, which means a decrease in votes for some of the main parties, as well as the possibility of a split in BSP and DPS and the collapse of "Velichie” let's see a serious transfer of votes from one party to another", commented Georgi Kiryakov.
The split in DPS, he said, was unexpected and will have unpredictable consequences. "At the very least, it will lead to the decline of the DPS party itself. It is possible that the party will be deleted altogether. We will probably see the political exit of Delyan Peevski, because whatever he tries without DPS, the probability that he will be able to calculate a serious electoral result is negligible. The battle for the brand "DPS“ is a very complex legal structure that has no prospect of being resolved by election day, which means that probably Dogan's DPS and Peevski's DPS will appear with other registrations, where they will rely on vote mobilization through Dogan's image and through Peevski's money", predicts the political scientist.
He does not expect a broad unification to be achieved in the left space for the upcoming elections. "Against the background of the additional division within the already residual BSP party, it can barely approach 4 percent, not to mention that it may not cross this barrier at all,", commented Kiryakov.
"We will see where the electoral resource that "Majesty“ was able to generate in a hurry before the previous selections – will much of it go to the army of non-voters” or some political alternative will be found to win this vote”, added the political scientist.
According to him, PP-DB will be able to return some of its disappointed voters and achieve a slightly higher result than the one in the last elections.
Georgi Kiryakov does not expect the presidential project to appear on the political stage for the upcoming elections. "The president is very patiently and strategically waiting for the situation to worsen even more and for his mandate to expire. It is advantageous for him to have a situation in which elections follow elections and deepen the crisis, because this generates a serious electoral resource in a future party. And this will probably happen," he thinks.