Hristo Ivanov is an interesting interlocutor and without a doubt, probably the best political philosopher among political leaders . His interview with BNT is worth hearing and understanding. We had a similar conversation with me at the Alternative, and then I asked him why these interesting statements were made after the elections and not before?! Probably because before the elections the media background is blurred and meaningful statements sink.
This commented on "Facebook" Iliyan Vassilev.
I think he is absolutely right in saying that the PPDB have an advantage in that they have a political message and an agenda of what to do with power, something that the others don't. So far OK, my problem is that they don't have a path to power to implement the program. Furthermore, the awareness that they all "love" and you are "indispensable" it is because of intellectual or program superiority that it makes you lazy and passive. You wait for Fate to imagine the best choice, not just pluck the fruit.
There are a few theses worth arguing with.
First, the thesis that now there is a unique opportunity - because DPS is breaking up and Peevski can come out stronger after new elections. According to Hristo PPDB, they will not have this unique "chance" that fate is now giving them.
I think he is wrong - a fragmented and broken parliament can produce nothing but instability, in which the influence of the deep state comes to the fore, not the official authorities. It is too wishful thinking that the wishes of the 39 PPDB deputies will be accepted with warm arms by the other parties. Without GERD or Revival things do not work.
Even during our conversation in the Alternative, I told him that with such theses, he and the other leaders of the PPDB seem to remove themselves from the obligation and responsibility to win the maximum number of votes and look at the political processes and the results of the elections as Divine force - fate. Each subsequent chance is worse than the current one and must be negotiated with the opponents.
Unlike Hristo, I think that what the PPDB's chances will be in the next parliament depends entirely and only on what the leaders of these organizations will do. And yes, extraordinary results can be achieved and elections turned around in three months. However, if they spend valuable time looking for a new government and people see in this assembly 2.0, then the chances really decrease sharply, because on top of past doubts, new ones will accumulate. Thank God they have a week to experiment with the new government and I hope they don't go to extremes in their search for a government formula.
If PPDBs accept that they will not fight for first place or for greater representation, their only chance remains to seek realization of their own uniqueness at the lower levels of representation, where they will rely on chance, not of real weight.
This theory of the uniqueness of PPDB with programs and management philosophy, if you notice, is not related to the real electoral weight. Tomorrow we will hear the same stories if they fall to 24, to 12 deputies. They will remain unique, guardians of the tablets of democracy and the market economy. But in the meantime, Bulgaria will have found its new version of the Borisov-Peevski-Radev model, which will govern us for decades.
Secondly, I don't know what kind of sociology he is stepping on, and he thinks that the next elections will not produce better opportunities, and for that everything should be limited to this Parliament. The elections did not decide, the 48th parliament was worse than the 49th, and it was worse than the 50th and thus a persistent regression. There is no such sociology for the next one - but it is a fact that if the PPDB do nothing to regain their trust, they will be to blame, not the invented trend and self-suggestion. But let's think about it - DPS will not exactly be the second force - DPS Dogan and DPS Peevski will in any case not be better. What remains is the dreaded Revival. A revival in this format - of nationalists and Russophiles is close to the ceiling. And we come back again - to the spontaneous prediction about the place and weight of the PPDB in the next Parliament - this is the central theme. If they do nothing or spend their trust capital and time on unnecessary exercises, naturally they will not achieve a greater result.
Thirdly, Hristo hopes that the Constitutional Court will not cancel the constitutional amendments, he has the right to do so, although as a politician he should base his behavior on objective perceptions, not hopes and subjective feelings. My problem is that it is not only that this is possible, at least in part, and then we will be back to square one - that is, nothing that is hypothesized to be unique to the current situation will be true, except that we must stop Radev with his interim government /if they are returned by the Constitutional Court:/. The bigger problem is that Hristo never understood that even with the most significant and successful reform, the decisive factor remains the empowered person. If the PPDB do not have the power in the Parliament and in the executive branch and in the president /for the offices/, even the best constitution and laws cannot produce change. With Magdalinchev and Sarafov, even the most perfect judicial reform will crash. Even now, the laws do not prevent the prosecutor's office from doing its job, - the people there do. And for the change PPDB needs personal weight, power, won elections.
The longer the agents of change stand in the position of trying to make a change, from bad positions and with bad cards, the more permanently they have a desire to find fault in the environment that hinders them, rather than in the imperfection of their own efforts. At least some.
Everything starts and ends with winning elections. And please stop making excuses for the people and the material. If there are problems there, they are again in the lack of qualities in the leaders. Yes, we do not have democratic traditions and history, but there are people who want to live better, at least in part of them, who, however, stayed at home in the last elections. Because of spent capital in a reform that can be undone.