What exactly is President Trump playing? Is he deliberately sacrificing a piece, in this case Iran, in order to maintain his position as a hegemon in the world, which alone decides how to arrange the chessboard of geopolitics? After Vietnam, Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, Syria, Lebanon, not to mention Sudan or Ethiopia, has it been Iran's turn? The result is eloquent.
The only exception is Vietnam, and there is an explanation for this. After the US bombings of the 3 most important nuclear sites in Iran /Natanz, Fordow, Isfahan/, the stakes have been raised to the maximum, which could lead to a situation on the verge of a full-scale war. Are the domestic events in Washington so worrying, serious analysts ask. Including in the USA.
Today we learn that they will make “Iran great again”. But the regime in Tehran will have to change, the American president wrote on his social network. According to him, “the strike took the bomb out of their hands”. After Pete Hegseth had said that “this mission was not and is not related to regime change in Iran”. And after Trump had said that he would wait 14 days for Tehran to decide to accept the US demands to finally give up its nuclear program and capitulate. Then the announcement that the Iranian Foreign Minister was going to Moscow for consultations with Putin after Istanbul forced Secretary of State Rubio to express dissatisfaction that instead of talks with Washington, Araqchi was traveling to the Russian capital.
In fact, in Istanbul, at a meeting with the Organization of Islamic Cooperation, which was banned from the media, Araqchi said that “after the US strikes on Iran, diplomacy is not an option”, which was supplemented by “the strikes are carried out together with the applied genocide”. “Iran will continue to defend its people”, but it is clear that it shares the tacit belief that “the only guarantee of sovereignty is the presence of nuclear weapons”. A conclusion that is made by a number of commentators who share the thesis that these are consequences of the US attack on Iran.
An attack that put them in the position of a direct participant on the side of Israel in a war with Iran. Whatever else is said. As they say, 1:0 for Netanyahu, who does not hide his satisfaction with Washington's intervention in the war with Iran and who aplombly thanks "friend Trump" for the support with depth charges. There is no UN Security Council, no Congress in Washington, the decision to bomb Iran's nuclear facilities requested by Tel Aviv is bold and certainly well thought out. The counting of wild rabbits, as they say in our country, is yet to come.
It is still too early to talk about reputation. But the world fears that "a step towards disaster" is being taken. And the "bad cop of Moscow", Medvedev, says that "a number of countries are now ready to give nuclear weapons to Iran". Well, for now, Pakistan, which has nuclear weapons, has nominated Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize, and that after the Chief of General Staff of the Pakistani Army was "summoned" to visit Washington. The US had a major role in resolving the conflict between India and Pakistan through diplomacy. However, Islamabad then made statements that it did not support the US bombing of Iran's nuclear facilities.
The question is who else will nominate President Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize, because even in his election campaign for a new entry into the White House, he defined himself as a peacemaker who will not allow the US to start a war around the world. But the "right of might" speaks for itself. No one wants to be next. The principle of "you die today, I die tomorrow" sobers up many "countries that protect their people" who do not have the courage to say "The Strait of Hormuz is not the Panama Canal".
It is curious that Rubio turned to Beijing to influence Tehran due to their close relations, so that it does not close the Strait of Hormuz. China's interests would be violated. There is no comment on Beijing's other interests in Iran, and they are directly related to the "One Belt, One Road" project and we are talking about many billions.
In fact, after the world waited in confusion what decision Trump would make regarding Iran, now it wonders how Tehran will respond after the truly stunningly impressive attack by the American B-2s with the "only depth bombs" over the Persians' nuclear facilities. They say there are 15 of them in total, but there were 3 underground ones and it was these that the Americans bombed.
How far will the ayatollahs' forces go and will they succeed in their attempts to divide Iranian society in order to rise up against their rulers? In this regard, betting on the heir to the Iranian monarchy, Reza Pahlavi, certainly turned out to be a not very far-sighted idea. Especially after his visit to Tel Aviv and demonstrated close relations with the rulers there. And after it turned out that refugees from Afghanistan, who worked there in cooperation with American forces and found shelter in Iran after the Taliban came to power, were at the bottom of a network of "intercepted for Mossad operations on Iranian territory", a hunt for traitors has begun, which further incites the Persians against foreign interference. It does not matter that the Kurds in Iran supported Israel's attacks on Iran.
In this regard, in his speech at the emergency meeting of the UN Security Council requested by Iran after the US attack, Araqchi, the foreign minister, stated that “the attack is recorded as a stain on US political history”. He added that “when the Zionist regime failed to do the West's dirty work, Trump should have personally carried out the most vile part of this vile plan on June 22”. According to him, “the timing, nature and scope of Iran's proportionate response will be determined by its armed forces”.
”History will not forget these tragic days”, Araqchi is convinced at the UN Security Council. He claims that Iran does not have nuclear weapons, but was attacked by Israel and the US, which "have thousands of nuclear warheads". They attacked Iran under the pretext that it "possesses nuclear weapons", and the situation turns out to be "a bitter and tragic irony". In plain language, he says that "the US, UK, France and the IAEA are responsible for the deaths of innocent Iranian civilians".
Israel attacked Iran two days before talks with the US were held. It destroyed diplomacy, but used it as a "trick to deceive the international community". Now they say that "Tel Aviv is ready for a ceasefire". Is it? Tehran considered the negotiations pointless and predicted that the war would last at least 6 months. Moreover, there is no evidence of the destruction of the nuclear site in Fordow. Which scenario will Tehran choose?
„Yediot Aharonot” in Tel Aviv writes that „the US attack is an opportunity for a ceasefire” and „Israel will immediately accept an Iranian ceasefire proposal”. End of the war with Iran? Another attack by Iran on the hoe, as they say in our country, when you have been lied to many times? But the signals from Tehran are that it is focusing on continuing the war with Israel with an intensity that it distributes over time. Israel is simply „a main US base in West Asia”. Moreover, „the majority of the centrifuges and underground cascade halls in Fordow are intact”.
Trump claims otherwise. But it is a fact that the IAEA cannot verify the location of Iran's uranium stockpiles. For a whole week now. Even in Tel Aviv there are voices saying "we requested this attack and the US carried it out, but it did not destroy the nuclear program". Iran has the technical know-how and infrastructure, i.e. it retains its capacity to enrich. Incitement or just a call to continue with the war? And it could stimulate Tehran to actually produce a nuclear bomb. Araqchi has already stated that "the door to diplomacy is firmly closed". "We were already in the middle of the diplomatic process and now it is wrong to ask us to return". He claims that "the US and Israel only understand the language of threats and force, which is very unfortunate". What now?
Israel has increased security measures to the highest level. The number of Israelis fleeing to Cyprus on yachts and paying up to 6 thousand shekels for the purpose is growing. In the West, they are worried about the activation of “sleeper cells” of Islamist groups and there are even fears of cyberattacks. From London, they are calling “let's calm down”. They were not involved in the attacks by the US and Israel. In Ankara, they are paying attention to analyses by the American Enterprise Institute about “a scenario for war in the event of a conflict between Israel and Turkey”.
There was also mention of “a Chinese invasion of Taiwan”. There was a possibility of a military conflict in this direction. MIT is releasing maps in Turkish media with the possibility of creating an independent Kurdish state on the territories of the 4 countries where they live. The chaos in the region suggests that everyone should solve their problems and achieve the realization of their dreams. So far, in Damascus alone, a bomber has blown himself up in a Christian church, killing 15 worshippers. He was from the “Islamic State”, say the rulers in Syria, who are former radical terrorists. What will Araqchi talk about with Putin? We are with Brussels. As always. What will Tehran's response be? It remains to be seen.