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Donald Trump is losing the war in Iran, and Tehran is only winning by surviving

Sanctions relief has allowed Tehran to increase its oil revenues, while Russia is reaping additional profits from rising energy prices

Apr 1, 2026 21:18 59

Donald Trump is losing the war in Iran, and Tehran is only winning by surviving  - 1

After a month of conflict between the US and Iran, there are increasing signs that the Donald Trump administration is facing serious difficulties in achieving its strategic goals, writes Foreign Policy, quoted by Focus.

According to a Pew Research survey, 61% of Americans disapprove of the president's actions regarding the war, while only 37% support them. Opinions are sharply divided: the majority of Republicans support the White House's course, while support among Democrats is minimal.

At the same time, in military terms, the US, together with Israel, inflicted significant losses on Iran. Key military and political figures were eliminated, missile capabilities were weakened, and military infrastructure was partially destroyed. Tehran's allies, in particular the Hezbollah group, have also been hit.

Despite these successes, however, Iran has maintained control over the situation and its ability to resist. The regime has not only survived, but also continues to attack Israel and US allies, and has also attracted new participants in the conflict - in particular, the Yemeni Houthis.

One of the key factors is the economy. Due to the partial blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the prices of oil, gas and aviation fuel have risen sharply. This has led to global risks - from energy instability to possible crises in the production of chips and food.

The war has also weakened the international authority of the United States. Washington practically enjoys limited support from its allies, while criticism from other countries is growing. According to international surveys, more respondents blame the US and Israel for the conflict than Iran.

Paradoxically, the conflict has also benefited America’s rivals. The easing of sanctions has allowed Iran to increase its oil revenues, while Russia has reaped additional profits from rising energy prices.

The war has become increasingly controversial within the United States, with growing skepticism in Congress about continuing to fund an operation that could cost hundreds of billions of dollars.

Analysts say Washington’s overstated expectations are the main problem. The original goals of regime change in Iran, the complete destruction of its missile program, and the end of its influence in the region have so far remained unattainable.

"Trump has long opposed expensive and protracted wars in the Middle East. "He probably misjudged the nature of the Iranian regime, and how its size and geography make it significantly different from Venezuela, a country whose leader the United States captured in an overnight operation," the magazine wrote.

Against this backdrop, even partial U.S. successes do not change the overall picture. The journalists say that Iran has retained control, its ability to recover, and its influence on the global economy.