China will fight for its own in Siberia if Vladimir Putin loses the war against Ukraine. Unfortunately, the West is not providing Kiev with the weapons with which the Ukrainians can win the war because they are afraid of the Kremlin's nuclear threats.
This was stated by Ukrainian military expert Petro Chernik, focus.ua reported. According to him, Putin's nuclear blackmail stops the US and other NATO countries from providing a certain type and number of weapons to the ZSU, fearing an escalation of the war and a direct confrontation.
If the Ukrainian armed forces get 180 F-16 fighter jets and 1,500 ATACMS missiles, they could easily reach the borders before the invasion, Petro Chernyk pointed out. According to him, the US has enough modern weapons: 4,500 F-16s have been produced, more than 3,000 are in working order, and they also have up to 4,000 ATACMS missiles in their warehouses.
The main problem why the West is holding back arms supplies is Putin's nuclear blackmail. “When Putin is cornered and defeat in Ukraine seems inevitable, he will be on the brink of destruction, and the nuclear button is the only guarantee of his survival,” said Chernik, who says it is difficult to judge when the Kremlin is bluffing and when it is not.
Another important point is that if Russia loses the war in Ukraine, it will collapse by 90%. In Siberia, with 13 million square kilometers of territory, 40% of all the world's resources of oil, gas, gold, timber, non-ferrous metals, precious stones and others are concentrated, and China will fight for its own, Chernik believes.
According to analysts, China is closely monitoring what is happening in Ukraine and for another reason - Taiwan. Beijing wants to see the reaction of Western countries, preparing for a future invasion of the island, which the Chinese see as their territory. If Ukraine loses, it will practically prove that any dictator can seize foreign territory without consequences for his regime.