About three million Bulgarians will vote in the upcoming early parliamentary elections on April 19, with five formations entering parliament and one on the verge. About 200 - 300 thousand more people are expected to vote than in the last elections. This is indicated by a survey by the Center for Analysis and Marketing, which was presented at a press conference “Electoral attitudes five days before the parliamentary elections - results of a nationally representative sociological survey“, organized at the National Press Club of BTA in Sofia.
The survey was commissioned by the Center for Analysis and Marketing. It was conducted from April 3 to April 14, 2026 among over 1011 adult citizens. One percent of the sample corresponds to 53 thousand people. The method of registration of information is a two-stage nested sample with a probability proportional to the size of the nests. The maximum permissible size of the stochastic error is ± 3.10 % at 50 shares and 95 % guaranteed probability.
According to the study, “Progressive Bulgaria” will receive 32.1% among likely voters, GERB-SDF – 19.4 %, “Continuing the change - Democratic Bulgaria" (PP-DB) – 12.00 %, “DPS-New beginning” &ndquo; 11.2 %, “Vazrazhdane" - 7%, said the director of the Center for Analysis and Marketing Yuliy Pavlov.
He pointed out that „BSP – United Left" will receive 4.2%, which puts it „on the scales“, and „Moral, Unity, Honor" (MECH) will receive 2.8%. According to the survey, „Shine" will receive 2.1%, „Velicie" – 2.0%, „Blue Bulgaria“ – 1.1%, „There is such a people" – 0.9%, and „Alliance for Rights and Freedoms" – 0.9%
The fight for third place is particularly tough because PP-DB and MRF are very close to each other, commented Pavlov. He emphasized that when a survey is conducted, about 40% of the urban right, who traditionally vote for PP-DB, refuse to participate, while among MRF supporters, the refusals reach about 70%.
According to the survey, a total of 54.1% of citizens have decided who to vote for, while 17.3% intend to exercise their right to vote, but are not yet sure for whom. A total of 11.3% still do not know whether they will go to the polls on April 19, and 15.6% have decided not to vote, Yuliy Pavlov also announced.
He explained that 50.3% of citizens define their political views as centrist, 14.4% - as right-wing, and 11% - as left-wing. as leftists.
38.1% believe that the caretaker cabinet will not provide conditions for holding fair elections, while 30.2% believe that it will.
A total of 42.1% of likely voters believe that the new parliament will be able to form a regular government, while 34.7% are skeptical.
Pavlov explained that 63.2% of likely voters believe that a regular government should be formed after the elections, even at the cost of major compromises, while 24.8% believe that it should not be if the “red lines“ of the parties are crossed.
A total of 47% of citizens trust Rumen Radev, while 42.5% do not trust him. 46.2% trust President Iliyana Yotova, while 41.4% – no. The leader in distrust remains Delyan Peevski with 89.5%, followed by Ahmed Dogan with 87.5% and Slavi Trifonov with 80%, Yuliy Pavlov also said. According to him, trust in Peevski has increased since the previous elections and reaches 7%. Probably a result of his work in the field, Pavlov said.
Of the institutions, citizens have the greatest distrust in the parliament - 85.8%. A total of 21.3% have faith in the government. Citizens have the highest trust in the presidency - 85.8%. 45.5%, followed by the army with 43%, explained the director of the Center for Analysis and Marketing.
He added that a total of 42.5% of citizens believe that the president's actions are rather successful, while 12.6% believe that the acting Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov is doing a good job.
High prices and inflation were assessed as the country's most serious problem by 44.6% of respondents, poor governance by 17.5%, and low incomes by 14.4%.