If Washington retreats from its spheres of influence, it will encourage other countries that see America as their adversary to act, which could lead to global escalation. As long as the US still has the strategic resources to contain its adversaries on several fronts, the system of international relations will remain as it is now.
This is what Assoc. Dr. Iskren Ivanov, political scientist and expert in international security and conflict management, told Bloomberg Bulgaria.
Regarding Anthony Blinken's visit to Ukraine, the expert comments that it is significant. It is very likely that the meeting discussed the strategies that Ukraine will use to counter Russian attacks. The main resource is already given – ATACMS long-range missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads.
„Until Ukraine receives the American F-16, there can be no lasting breakthrough on the front”.
When asked why Ukraine cannot accept the American plan that the US is offering it, in the context of the fact that the conflict has been going on for two years, Ivanov replied that this is due to the educational qualification of the majority of the Ukrainian military command . In early 2023, the older officers gave way to younger graduates who had specialized in the US. On them was the hope that the course of the war would change.
„This would have happened if Congress had not blocked aid to Ukraine simply because it was fatally late and parity would probably not be reached until the end of this year.
According to the expert, after the conflict, a bipolar model of international relations will follow. On the one hand – democracies led by the USA, on the other side – other political families who do not identify as liberal democracies and who are united, despite their differences, by how to dethrone American global leadership.
Commenting on American foreign policy in the context of the upcoming US elections, the expert pointed out that foreign policy does not matter much for the election campaign. Trump's opinion on Ukraine has begun to change sharply in the past few months.
„US foreign policy is dedicated to one goal, it is fundamental to America, and that is maintaining American global leadership.
As factors that would influence the opinion of American voters, the expert noted the level of inflation, health care and the social system.