Politicians in the course of this election campaign, they should stop making sharp statements about who they would not ally with, because later it is very difficult to cross these red lines.
GERD has long since been exhausted as ideas and faces. She wins because there is no one to oppose her. There were two such attempts - by ITN and PP, but they seemed to retreat from their positions very quickly. It is precisely such a new type of parties and coalitions that, when they win the elections, appear to be unprepared to maintain what they have achieved. This largely keeps GERD for those who want the familiar and who don't want to take risks.
With the BSP and the new coalition partners, there are problems already at the very beginning of the formation of the coalition,
The political scientist Prof. Todor Galunov recalled this to the BNR.
"I do not rule out that this 4 percent barrier will be jumped by persons, parties and party women who seem not to be taken seriously enough in the current practice. This is again on the verge of prediction. It is possible, of course, that 6 or 7 parties will remain in the parliament, it is also possible for 9 parties", commented the political scientist, not completely excluding "Velichie" from the accounts. and "Sword".
In his words, probably for the first time we are faced with an option to make the parliament even more colorful. A part of the citizens has a desire to change something abruptly, he explained and added that the old big parties seem to offer the same thing - both as ideas and as persons.
According to him, the low turnout gives a chance with a small number of votes for one of the parties to cross the electoral barrier.
In an interview for the program "Horizon for you" Prof. Galunov expressed the opinion that the GERB party is the most stable in this campaign. According to him, their first place is practically certain because they have a solid core. But they no longer capture the periphery, added the political scientist.
"It involves many persons who were in the BSP, but later worked against the BSP. I don't know in this short time if they will forget the old wounds, already gathered in a common space. It's as if old faces don't carry many votes. I don't expect any big political blow there".
A very serious test for the parties is to what extent they will be ready to act after the elections from the point of view of the interests of the state, and not from the point of view of their narrow party interests, according to Prof. Galunov. According to him, the formation of a coalition after the vote is not unprincipled, but concern for the state:
"If they haven't read their lesson this time and haven't learned it, there is a possibility that we will have another parliamentary election in March.
There is nothing more dangerous for democracy than passivity, he warned and expressed hope that the Bulgarian people will find the strength to come out en masse to vote and show who wants to govern them.
In his words, the parties must find the new nuances:
"They have no new ideas. They repeat the same thing. This is the chance for some party with a different type of ideology to radically jump over the 4 percent.
According to him, it may turn out that a more varied parliament can give opportunities for more political combinations and for the formation of a government. In Bulgaria, it seems difficult to create new successful political entities, said Prof. Todor Galunov. According to him, we very quickly return to the familiar, because it probably protects us from unpleasant political and economic surprises.
Changing the electoral system immediately before the elections cannot be an efficient measure, he was categorical and reminded that there is mistrust in the entire political class. According to him, the problem is that the attitude of the Bulgarian voter is that we elect people who largely work for their narrow party and almost personal interests. People want real things, the political scientist pointed out.