How close we are to the worst-case scenario - a full-scale war in the Middle East ?
"What the answer will be, when, where - this is not clear, but there will certainly be an answer. I was impressed by one component - the change in the name of the operation against "Hezbollah". 4-5 days ago, Netanyahu, who has daily addresses, addressed the Iranian people and said that the regime of the mullahs is oppressing them. Then I made a connection - when they went against "Hezbollah", the operation was called "Arrows for the North". After 2-3 days it was renamed the "New Regime" - the greater Middle East, but without the Iran of the mullahs. A very interesting analysis was made by a former Iranian ambassador. The moment Netanyahu changed the title, it was no longer just about "Hezbollah" but about Iran itself. Yesterday they brought back the old title. Obviously, they have decided that there is no way to do this large-scale operation.
This was stated by Arabist Prof. Vladimir Chukov in "Day ON AIR".
In his words, society in Iran likes the West, but the mullahs are very anti.
"Everyone has spoken out against Israel entering Lebanon, including the Biden administration, not to mention Macron, Russia, China and the EU. Then it was simply seen that these trends could not be realized. Biden said, "We are opposed to the ground operation," but the Pentagon remained silent. In America, very often there are decisions that are the result of accumulations of various institutions. Decisions there are very complicated to make and the Pentagon has its autonomy. Iran is a very interesting country," added Chukov for Bulgaria ON AIR.
According to him, Israel will not be left behind, no matter who wins the US elections.
"If Israel wants to, it can collapse Iran. An attack on nuclear installations - they know them inside out. Will be looking for some reasoning as to how far it can go. This would mean that oil prices would rise. Just before November 5th, it wouldn't make sense for that to happen. Benjamin Netanyahu, who has proven that he is a man with 9 lives, is more than autonomous," commented the guest.
More serious attention should be paid to what is happening, he is categorical.
"There are problems in Denmark and Sweden at the moment. In Denmark, several explosions went off near the Israeli embassy, and in Sweden, the Israeli embassy was directly fired upon. I am sure that these are supporters of "Hamas" and "Hezbollah". Serbia is much more attractive as a staging ground for what we see in the Middle East. They are neither part of the EU nor NATO. We already have a precedent - Israel hit the Iranian response, which was "fluttering a feather". By changing the code name of the action, it is obvious that the idea of the new Middle East may have fallen out", explained Chukov.