A short comment for August 22, 2024 was made by the famous mathematician Prof. Nikolay Vitanov. FOCUS published it without editorial intervention:
Brief comment for August 22
So, as promised, it's Thursday and time for another comment.
Today I will not comment on our political circus. I will just say that some people were again pushed to occupy Orlov Most. As you can imagine, I am not done listing the tricks of the color revolutionary. This yesterday was a most miserable experience. Apparently, I will have to comment on how heroes should be properly pushed to make a color revolution.
Let's get back to our main comment topic.
41 DAYS TO GO UNTIL THE BIG ANALYSIS OF JURUSH 2024 - THE KUR ADVENTURE.
The 50-day countdown is on, at the behest of the croaking jerks against Vitanov.
Claim of Vitanov:
for 50 days, the invaded 7 incomplete Ukrainian brigades will go 2 meters underground. Each additional brigade brought in will extend the agony by 1 week. In order to get to the presidential elections in the USA, Sirsky has to throw 5 more brigades. the chaff is - where will he get them. It has none. Answer - he can try to take them from the Donbas front. Who will begin to burst at the seams. But this does not matter to Sirski and Zelenski. The important thing is that they suppress the Kursk offensive for propaganda purposes - until the US presidential elections.
Expected Ukrainian losses on day 50
1. irretrievable losses in manpower - 15,000
2. tanks --60
3. APCs - 90
4. BMPs - 55
5. BBM (armored combat vehicles) -400
6. cars - 300
7. MLRS - 8
8. Cannons - 40
Lose by day 10 of counting
day 3 day 4 day 10
1. Irreversible losses in manpower - 2300 2640 4400
2. tanks - 37 37 65
3. APCs - 32 32 53
4. BMP - 18 23 27
5. BBM - 192 206 316
6. cars - 88 96 133
7. MLRS - 4 4 9
8.guns - 15 20 31
What do these numbers tell us? Enough for him to look behind them. It should be noted that the number of destroyed tanks exceeded the forecast. That is, Ukraine is really throwing its most combat-ready units towards Kursk. And nothing remains of their fighting ability. Second, tanks aside, mobile groups are relied upon, resulting in heavy losses of armored vehicles. In other words, the control of the territories is highly questionable. Sending 5 people with BBM to travel down some road and get lucky and come back is not territory control. The other thing that exceeded the forecast was the amount of MLRS destroyed. Which shows that the Russians are quite effective at detecting Ukrainian volley fire systems and quickly destroying them. The same applies to the cannons, whose number destroyed is also approaching the forecast.
In short, as expected, the work got stuck. There are no new victories. It's going to the standard scenario we saw last year - a big whoop at the start, great wins and then - silence, silence-ah-ah-ah-ah.
In my opinion, and in the opinion of all decent Western analysts, this with a rush to Kursk is complete nonsense. The Russians did not remove parts of the Donban front and it is moving quite quickly to the west. The famous city of New York was captured by the Russians. This opens the road to Toretsk for the Russian units. On our media - complete silence. They will mark it half-heartedly. Among them are Toretsk and Pokrovsk and covering from the south the defensive line Konstantinovka - Kramatorsk. The last battle for Donbas is coming.
And with these problems, Sirski decided -... to extend the front. He withdrew his most combat-ready units from the Donbass and threw them into Kursk. Result - the carefully built 10-year Ukrainian lines in Donbas fall one after another, and the great victory in Kursk is Ukrainian units hiding in the forests and captured or destroyed 300 people a day by the Russians. They therefore the losses of cannon fodder are not greater. There is no concentration of Ukrainian units in one place that will be hit by artillery and aviation. There are groups hiding in the woods. So, soon there will be silence in the media on the matter. Watch as the information war breaks out. And also the Bulgarian charanieros, tossing and turning on the bare hooks of propaganda. And watch as their squeals grow into deafening silence.
So much for today about Rush 2024 - The Kursk Adventure.
I wish you health and success and may viruses and war surround you.