Israeli officials have admitted in private conversations with their American counterparts that any mass protests in Iran would be quickly suppressed by the authorities, according to a diplomatic cable from the US State Department, cited by The Washington Post.
According to the document, representatives of Israeli institutions have stated that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has "superiority" and could quickly neutralize anti-government actions. Despite public messages from Israel and the US, in private conversations it was assessed that the Iranian state "is not cracking" and is ready to "fight to the end".
The publication reflects meetings between American representatives and members of the Israeli National Security Council, the Ministry of Defense and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
At the same time, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu continues to publicly call on Iranian citizens to rise up against the authorities. After the latest strikes against key figures in the Iranian power apparatus, he stated that the goal is to create conditions for the people to "take their fate into their own hands".
However, according to Israeli officials, Iran's ability to carry out missile and drone attacks remains significant, which is seen as a sign of the regime's resilience. Additionally, according to the same sources, the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei continues to exercise control and is closely linked to the Revolutionary Guard.
Analysis also indicates that the Iranian opposition is failing to build a united and effective front capable of mobilizing significant domestic support.
The growing number of civilian casualties and conflicting signals from the US and Israel further complicate the situation, which, according to observers, weakens the readiness for mass anti-government actions in the country.