The formula for the 51st National Assembly meeting is 7+2. Seven formations with secure parliamentary representation and two with chances of crossing the barrier. Between 2 and 2.2 million Bulgarians will exercise their right to vote on Sunday.
This shows a "Trend" study.
At the end of the election campaign, there are no significant changes compared to our last survey conducted before the start of the campaign. The formula for the 51st National Assembly is 7 + 2, or 7 secure formations with representation in the parliament and two with chances of participation.
GERB-SDS is the leader in the ranking with the support of 24.9% of the voters with a comfortable distance from the second. Below in the ranking, three groups of formations stand out, and in each group the results of individual parties and coalitions are similar. The first group is in the battle for second place, in which Vazrazhdane (15.2%) and Continuing the change-Democratic Bulgaria (14.8%) fall. The second group includes the Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (7.8%), DPS-New Beginning (7%), There is such a people (6.6%) and BSP (6.5%). The third group of parties is in the fight for parliamentary representation and is made up of MECH (4%) and Velichie (3.6%). Blue Bulgaria remains with the support of 1.7% of voters.
The differences in values between the formations in each of the groups is less than a percentage, which suggests that shifts in the arrangement are quite possible.
The share of respondents indicated that they would vote with the option “I do not support anyone” is 4.3%, and this percentage is distributed among all formations.
The election campaign has failed to motivate more voters to exercise their right to vote and the expected turnout is between 2 million and 2,200,000 people expected to vote.
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We present to your attention data from a survey of “Trend“ by order of “24 hours", dedicated to the attitudes of Bulgarians at the end of the election campaign. The research was carried out in the period between October 16 and 22, 2024 through a direct semi-standardized face-to-face interview. with a tablet among 1002 people aged 18+.