“At this stage, I think that the danger of the coalition and the majority collapsing has been avoided - but in a confused way“, said political scientist Prof. Ognyan Minchev in the program “Denya na Zhivo“ on NOVA NEWS, commenting on the meeting of the Joint Governance Council.
In his words, after Delyan Peevski's statement that he has no claims for specific posts in the government, “the whole scandal has turned into a storm in a teacup“. According to him, the tension was provoked by the by-elections in Pazardzhik, but has subsided without any real consequences.
“The bigger problem is undoubtedly for GERB and Boyko Borisov“, Minchev pointed out.
He explained that the party bears all political responsibility for the government.
“GERB takes all the negatives, but can do almost nothing to limit the damage“, Minchev added.
Minchev emphasized that the conflict is not about whether “DPS-New Beginning“ should officially enter power. “Rather, Borisov tried to present the invitation to the party as a way out of the tension, but the real problem is something else — Peevski's refusal to take public responsibility, despite his growing influence in the institutions, said the political scientist.
In his words, this creates a paradox - enormous power without formal participation in the government, which will lead to new clashes "in the coming months".
“By the beginning of 2026, we may witness a new, more serious crisis,“ Minchev predicted.
He pointed out that the procedures surrounding the introduction of the euro and the budget will temporarily hold the government back, but tensions in the coalition remain.
According to the political scientist, the upcoming budget submission will be “extremely tense“.
“The budget will become a hot potato – everyone will try to extract a political dividend“, commented Minchev.
He predicts that President Radev will use the topic to expand his influence, and “We continue the change - Democratic Bulgaria“ will attack the ruling party for “unwise spending in recent years“.
The professor assessed as unlikely an easy replacement of Natalia Kiselova. “The fact that GERB is no longer directly demanding her resignation shows that they do not have convincing arguments. The idea of rotation is an attempt at compromise“, he commented.
According to him, the BSP is categorically against it, and “There is such a people“ support GERB, hoping that their MP Silvi Kirilov will lead the parliament.
“I do not see a serious chance for a quick change of the Speaker of the National Assembly“, concluded Minchev.