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Median: If the elections were today GERB-SDS first with 24.5%, Vazrazhdane - second with 13.7%, PP-DB are third-12.1%

The data so far show that regardless of the low voter turnout ( and to some extent thanks to it) it will not be a particular difficulty to form a tripartite majority to form a government. The problem will be rather the durability of such a majority (type of assembly) and its legitimacy  in the eyes of the huge mass of non-voting voters

Oct 14, 2024 10:09 316

Median: If the elections were today GERB-SDS first with 24.5%, Vazrazhdane - second with 13.7%, PP-DB are third-12.1%  - 1

About 30% of those entitled to vote would go to vote in another early election. About 1.9 will stand before the polls – 2.1 million registered voters. This is shown by the latest sociological research of the "Mediana" agency, quoted by novini.bg.
If the elections were held today, GERB-SDS would receive 24.5% of the votes, "Revival" are second with 13.7%, PP-DB would get 12.1%, "BSP - United Left" - 8.8%, APS of Dogan - 8.7%, ITN - 7.0%, DPS - "New beginning" of Peevski - 5.0%, "Blue Bulgaria" - 3%, MECH - 2.4%, and 11.4% would vote with "I do not support anyone".
The data so far show that regardless of the low voter turnout (and to some extent thanks to it), forming a three-party majority to form a government will not be a particular difficulty. The problem will be rather the durability of such a majority (type of "assembly”) and its legitimacy in the eyes of the huge mass of non-voting voters.

The possibility of forming a government can solve the problem of the parties with the so-called “political crisis”. However, it will not solve society's problem with its political representation. The vast majority of voters (53%) do not believe that they are actually voting. They do not believe that their choice depends on who and how governs the country. For them, the elections and in general the whole so-called “democratic process” becomes a farce, a pacifier for fools. It is precisely this problem that the upcoming elections will probably not solve.

There are still about 360,000 voters who are undecided about who to vote for.

The study was conducted in period 8 – October 13, 2024 with 978 people (18+ years) through a direct standardized interview and is representative of the adult population of the country. The study is a research project of the MEDIANA agency and was realized with its own funds.