7 parties are expected to enter the 51st National Assembly, there is a potential for one more party. GERB remains the first force, followed by PP-DB, Vazrazhdane, APS, DPS - New Beginning, BSP - United Left, "There is such a people". MECH is the party that has the potential to enter the National Assembly with opportunities to cross the 4 percent barrier.
This is what sociologist Pavel Valchev from "Alpha Research" commented. in front of BNT.
The sociologist does not expect an expansion of support for the parties. 30-32% is expected to be the voter turnout. The campaign did not succeed in encouraging more people to go to the polls, Valchev was categorical. Almost half of the Bulgarians did not feel at all that elections were coming, in my words. He does not expect any serious increase in activity.
The battle between second and third place continues. GERB and PP-DB will be close to the majority, but they will need a third player.
People's expectation is to form a government, it became clear from Pavel Valchev's comment.
We have a languid, apathetic campaign aimed at the hard cores. Sociologist Pavel Valchev from "Alpha Research" commented on this. in front of BNT. For 56% of Bulgarians, there was no indication of an election campaign in their settlements, according to a survey conducted in the period October 20-23 with own funds among 1,000 adults through a direct standardized interview with tablets at people's homes. 14% share about campaign confrontation in their localities. 13% say that voting incentives are given out.
The main messages come from the media. However, the actual campaign takes place in places. We can pretty much say that this time too, apathy and disillusionment will prevail over mobilization. This was stated to "This Morning" on bTV the sociologist from "Alpha Research" Boryana Dimitrova.
Light mobilization for GERD-SDS. The reason is the request that they will do everything possible to form a government, Dimitrova revealed.
56% of Bulgarians in populated areas say that there is no indication that elections are coming. 13% admit that voting incentives are offered in their localities.
Dimitrova stated that the bought vote does not have as much power for the number of deputies as indirect damage - the refusal of normal voters to go to the polls.
"The more people vote, the greater the chance of legitimacy," she added.
According to the sociologist, if a government is not formed after these elections, the hard-line electorates will begin to withdraw.
PP-DB has 14.9% support, "Revival" third with 14.2%. According to Dimitrova, Kostadin Kostadinov's party suffers damage from parties such as "Velichie" and others.
The split of supporters of Ahmed Dogan and supporters of Delyan Peevski into two wings of the DPS is also with a minimal difference between them. Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) receives 7.9% support, and DPS-Novo Nachalo 7.4%. Followed by "BSP – United Left" with 7.2% support.
"There is such a people” has a vote of 6.1% and is the seventh formation in the future National Assembly.