The national-patriotic line wins, which is the line all over the world right now. It is globalism versus patriotism and nationalism, liberalism versus conservatism. The new trend - what is coming is much more conservatism and patriotic-national talk.
This opinion was expressed to the BNR by the political psychologist Prof. Antoineta Hristova.
"Right now is the height of the war between liberalism and conservatism. This war will end with conservatism winning because it is the more normal ideology. The problem is that this conservatism does not degenerate into an extreme."
Therefore, according to her, the winners in the current situation are "Revival, SWORD, "Greatness" and new alternatives that are currently being prepared", but the president's party is not among them.
"There are a lot of attempts and thoughts to organize alternatives and people will turn to them because the quantitative accumulation to the politicians in the parliament at the moment – refusing to look at them because you hate them is not apathy – when you have an accumulation of such a negative attitude, you need a few more problems of an economic and financial nature for the discontent to erupt, for it to hit your pocket. The Bulgarian does not act until the pocket hits him. It may not come to an entirely bad scenario. I suppose, however, that activation of voting can be obtained in the direction of a penal vote", comments Prof. Antoineta Hristova.
There is more than a 50% probability that we will go to new early elections, she believes.
Hristova predicted that the consultations with the president "will be held relatively formally, everyone will express their messages", but within the framework of these consultations we will not have an answer as to whether there will be a regular government.
Designating the request for Kiril Petkov's immunity as indicative, she defined it as part of the election campaign.
"This act implies two things – the first possibility is pre-election, that is, a turn is taken towards elections, relations that could have been a basis for negotiations are broken: GERB with PP-DB. The prosecutor's office is definitely pointing the finger at Kiril Petkov. The goal of Sarafov being elected chief prosecutor motivates GERB and Boyko Borisov. The second alternative is for this to be an attempt at a death wedge between DB and PP so that DB can move on to more serious arrangements in the future with GERB."
GERB and DPS-NN are interested in new elections, emphasized Prof. Hristova. According to her, "in this picture, the DPS–NN is supportive, with informal support for a possible government; will raise voices, but will not enter".
BSP is in a rather confused situation. It is a great success that where by chance, where not – elected its Speaker of the Parliament. At the moment, it runs the risk of an opposition party entering the ruling party's game, which is risky and can lead to very serious losses, noted the political psychologist.
"BSP is torn in uncertainty. At the moment, the interest of the BSP to remain in an opposition position is beginning to dominate."