The manner in which the operation was carried out, in which Ismail was liquidated, is impressive Chania with a guided missile in her bedroom at 02.00. Everything was done extremely precisely, the time and place were chosen, but it is not clear how and who launched this rocket. We see what an intelligence operation means, what logistics and technological superiority of the Israeli services means.
This is what he told “Focus" the Arabist Prof. Vladimir Chukov.
According to him, Iran cannot start an open confrontation with Israel because they will unblock their relations with the West. "If they move toward reconciliation with the US administration, it cannot happen hand in hand with a large-scale operation. The way in which this operation was undertaken and implemented is to some extent a path in the ambitions of the new president. He expects a general response from “Hamas" and "Hezbollah", reminding of another precise operation carried out 12 hours earlier - Israel's strike in Beirut," noted Prof. Chukov.
He outlined the main differences between "Hezbollah" and "Hamas", which, in his words, are huge: "One is Shiite, the other is Sunni." One is part of the Islamic Republic of Iran 1982, ideologically identical with the denomination that rules in the Islamic Republic - Shiites, Jafarites. They are part of the financial empire and organizational body of the Islamic Republic. The head of the Islamic Republic is also the supreme judge in disputes within the movement itself. They are first-echelon proxies and were invited to take Qassem Soleimani's place as a collective body after he was assassinated in early 2020 and Ismail Haniyeh was appointed in his place. “Hezbollah" is part of the Revolutionary Guard. "Hamas" are Sunni, not created by the Islamic Republic, their past is the Palestinian Muslim Brotherhood, created in the 1950s. They have a twist - closer to Iran or closer to the radical Sunnis or the revolutionary Sunnis who are represented by the "Muslim Brotherhood". In the organization “Hamas" there are two wings, one closer to Iran and it was led by the Minister of War of “Hamas" who was killed in Beirut. And Haniya was considered to be one of those close to Iran. There are also those who are closer to the authentic "Muslim Brothers" faithful to Sunnism, noted Prof. Vladimir Chukov.
He pointed out that there are no prospects for successful negotiations between Israel and the Palestinian group. "For months they have been negotiating, contacting, reaching a close agreement, under the pressure of the USA, Qatar and Egypt, but there was always something that got in the way. After the murder of Ismail Hania, things will hardly go as if nothing had happened. Haniya was the external face of “Hamas", but practically did not make decisions about the negotiations. The negotiations are decided by Yahya Sinuar, the leader of “Hamas" in Gaza. In this situation, there will be no serious negotiations and results. Against the background of what happened in the Israeli camp, the radical core represented by the two ministers Ben Gvir and Smotrich exerted a very strong influence. From what happened in Beirut and Tehran, the situation is more than pessimistic," comments Prof. Chukov.
The Arabist commented on the air of "Focus" and the rhetoric of Turkish President Recep Erdogan against Israel. He noted that the policy of the Turkish head of state towards Israel is meandering. "At the end of last year, he was more on the side of "Hamas". Under the pressure of public opinion and his electoral mass, he began to back down and at one point made a 180 degree turn. Erdogan's rhetoric is for domestic political service. The verbal battle, the psychological battle, the media battle between Tel Aviv and Ankara is really the strongest and most radical. But at this stage, there are no prospects to move on to something more material, one calls Benjamin Netanyahu Hitler, and the other calls him back - think what was the fate of Saddam Hussein", the Arabist stressed.
He recalled that before October 7, there was a great deal of optimism and the possibility of establishing diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel. "The opportunity to pass the so-called Indian corridor and Indian goods to pass to Europe through our territories - unfortunately all this went to hell. And again, we returned to the old fronts between the state of Israel and the so-called Resistance, that is, Iran and the relevant proxies," Prof. Vladimir Chukov concluded.