In voting for the national parliament on June 9, GERB-SDS received 24.7% of the votes, and the second – PP-DB – 15.4%. This is according to a national survey on electoral attitudes, funded and implemented jointly by bTV and “Market LINKS“.
The research was conducted among 1,004 people over 18 in the country in the period of May 23 – June 2, 2024 by the methods of direct-personal interview and online survey.
According to the survey data, the third political force will be DPS – with 12.3% support, and fourth – “Revival“ with 11.1%.
Following BSP – 7.5%, and “There is such a people” – 4%. ITN is again on the verge of entering the parliament.
The latest survey of electoral attitudes shows an increase in the desire to vote, reported Dobromir Zhivkov from “Market LINKS”.
48.3% of the respondents announced that they will vote for MPs in the National Assembly, and 47.4% – for the European Parliament.
“It is possible that the voter turnout will be higher than the one in April last year for the National Assembly, and that for the European Parliament will be higher than the one in 2019,”, commented Zhivkov.
In his words, the increased desire to vote comes from the new players who appeared in these elections.
According to Zhivkov, the third place of DPS is relatively secure. The party can increase its support by adding the votes from abroad.
„It should be taken into account that 290,000 people will decide who they will vote for in the remaining days until the vote. There is a reserve in them and it is the largest for the PP-DB“, the sociologist specified.
The study also shows that in the two leading political forces – GERB-SDS and PP-DB, the voting result for the EP is higher than that for the national parliament.
“The reason is that these are the political forces with the largest cores. Hard cores are sure to vote in both types of elections. While those supporting the smaller parties – below the barrier, they would vote less for MPs in the EP, knowing that the barrier is higher, and their focus is exclusively on the national parliament, commented the sociologist from Market LINKS.
According to him, it is quite possible to observe the phenomenon of voting for different political forces of different types of vote.
The sociologist also analyzes the potential of the political forces below the line to jump over the 4 percent barrier and enter the 50th National Assembly.
„Especially with “Blue Bulgaria” we see a certain upward trend, which is difficult to say how it will develop in the remaining days. It should be borne in mind that most of the people who are undecided about how they will vote are people from the cities with higher political culture, monitor and decide at the last moment. Some of them can go to “Blue Bulgaria”. Former PP-DB voters also vote for them. It is not excluded that the formation will approach and even jump over the barrier”, explained Dobromir Zhivkov.