The resources of the PP-DB are not enough for them to represent a functional and sufficiently strong alternative to the status quo. This was explained to the Bulgarian National Radio by political scientist Prof. Ognyan Minchev. "The PP's position is a position of naked radicalism. The DB is taking a more sober view and assessment of the situation".
Minchev does not perceive the other opposition parties as an alternative either.
"Vazrazhdane", "Velichie" and MECH are political forces serving Moscow's interests in Bulgaria".
The political crisis in Bulgaria continues, albeit in a different format, the political scientist summarized.
"It began in 2020. The goal was to change the status quo of governance, which started with GERB's first victory in 2009 and continued until 2020.
After the so-called forces of change tried alternative coalitions and failed, their second attempt was related to the so-called an assembly where they attracted both GERB and the MRF with Delyan Peevski, into a common constitutional majority, counting on the fact that they would dictate to the forces of the status quo what to do in return for the service of legitimizing them back into power.
The forces of the status quo - in the person of GERB and MRF, won the showdown with the PP-DB. The assembly turned out to be a good legitimization mechanism.
Currently, we see mainly the PP, trying with their traditional means - public protests, to once again put on the agenda the problem of radical social change against the status quo, but with much fewer resources, with their own legitimacy squandered and in a status quo where the MRF and Peevski are much more powerful.
We are returning to a vicious circle, in which the forces of the status quo, albeit in a changed balance, once again dominate the scene. They are also strengthened in a specific way by the activating positions of the pro-Russian parties.
PP-DB should not make political or social analyses, but based on the analyses already made, prepare a political strategy that will be successful, noted Ognyan Minchev in the program "12+3".
"Unfortunately, we do not see this. We hear complaints and radicalization, which in itself is not a bad thing – through public protests, significant things often change for the better, but we try this many times, and I do not see how this mobilization of public protest will be able to change things at the institutional level.
With naked radicalism, societies do not change, especially when you do not have a public majority with which to impose your thesis. You have to be intelligent and politically experienced enough to be able to make certain changes in society with your own support, which is not great. I don't see this strategy".
However, we see the continuation of the fragmentation of the political system, the political scientist explained.
"On the one hand, we have a government that cannot be overthrown for now, but it is becoming increasingly fragile, considering that both on the side of the Russian train and on the other side – of the democratic pro-European opposition, we see the digging of gaps, not opportunities for cooperation between these political forces, which should guarantee Bulgaria's European choice and its existence as an institutionally stable country".
He does not expect today's vote of no confidence in the government to pass either.
"But the result of this will be further radicalization, alienation and in practice - loss of opportunities to use more flexibly the relatively few opportunities that the Bulgarian political system currently contains in the direction of stabilization and realization of those goals that the PP-DB sets for itself with this vote and which are legitimate".