If the elections were in mid-March, the declarative support among those declaring that they would vote for a certain party and coalition or candidate would look like this: Rumen Radev's formation "Progressive Bulgaria" would win 30.8% of the vote, GERB-SDF - 19.3%, PP-DB - 12.9%, DPS (New Beginning) - 10.6% and "Vazrazhdane" - 7.9%. Around the barrier would be BSP-United Left with a current result “on the edge“ with 4.1%, not far from MECH – with 3.6%. “Velicie“ would have 2.5%, and “Sianie“ clearly enters the battle for growth – with 2.3%. ITN would receive 1.4%, and APS – 1.3%. In the battle for percentage, from today's point of view, formations such as “Blue Bulgaria“, “Anti-Corruption Bloc“, etc. can be distinguished.
This is shown by the data from the independent monthly research program of the sociological agency “Measure“. The results are based on those who decided to vote for certain parties and candidates and are not a forecast of the election result, but a snapshot of electoral attitudes. The survey was conducted “face-to-face“ with tablets between March 7 and 16, 2026 among 809 adult Bulgarian citizens. The maximum standard error is ±3.5 at 50% shares. 1% of the entire sample (and not of voters) equals nearly 54,000 people.
With all the conditional nature of the electoral lists, as well as the declarative nature of the respondents' answers, potential activity remains close to half of adult Bulgarians – 49.1% or higher compared to what was announced by respondents before previous elections, i.e. with the possibility of exceeding three million. 1.8% of all those who say they will vote say they intend to vote with “I do not support anyone“.