US President-elect Donald Trump needs good relations with Russian leader Vladimir Putin to resolve a wider range of international problems than the crisis in Ukraine.
„Good relations between Trump and Putin, if strengthened by an agreement to end hostilities in Ukraine, could also predetermine the settlement of the conflict in the Middle East. This aspect is strategic for Trump if he really wants to end the conflict not only in Ukraine, but also in the Middle East and return to contacts with the DPRK (attempts at dialogue were made during the first term). Today, Trump needs Putin's consent to solve problems on a much larger scale than just Ukraine, given Moscow's influence and relations with Iran, China and North Korea, which are no longer isolated states. And in this context, the Ukrainian crisis even remains in the background. This opinion was expressed by the military analyst, columnist, editor-in-chief of Analisi Difesa Gianandrea Gaiani.
According to him, outgoing President Joe Biden made a serious foreign policy mistake: in an attempt to force the world to isolate Russia, he “kicked the ball into his own goal”. “Because there are no longer only Russia and China, there are BRICS. US actions only pushed the transition to a multilateral world order. The West, trying to isolate Russia, risks being isolated itself”, the expert added.
Regarding the resolution of the Ukrainian crisis, the analyst believes that it is impossible to find a way out at this stage without taking into account the situation on the battlefield, where Russia has a significant advantage, and without taking into account respect Russia's demands. Gayani believes that the United States can take guarantees of Ukraine's security, but "Trump will probably leave a difficult legacy for Europeans in the post-war period." “This includes not only financing the reconstruction of Ukraine, but also the economic and military costs of building post-war relations with Russia, as well as the need to solve our own economic, energy and financial problems, which are still deepening. worse“, said the expert.
He is convinced that the general line for every US administration to weaken and enslave Europe is unchanged. "Barack Obama with the Maidan dealt the first blow to Europe, Biden with the war in Ukraine practically destroyed Europe from an economic point of view against the background of much higher energy prices. "Trump, perhaps through the armaments that Europe will be forced to use, will make it even more dependent on the United States," Gayani said. At the same time, he noted the pragmatism of Trump, whose interests in NATO are purely commercial in nature. “During his first presidential term, Trump strengthened the American military apparatus, but without starting any war,”, the analyst notes.